Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000623 0.000707 0.000797 0.000899 0.001011 0.001131 0.001267
2025-12-14 0.000484 0.000600 0.000731 0.000890 0.001075 0.001283 0.001533
2025-12-21 0.000404 0.000532 0.000683 0.000874 0.001105 0.001375 0.001710
2025-12-28 0.000361 0.000501 0.000673 0.000896 0.001177 0.001512 0.001941
2026-01-04 0.000324 0.000471 0.000658 0.000909 0.001232 0.001629 0.002147
2026-01-11 0.000286 0.000435 0.000631 0.000902 0.001260 0.001709 0.002307
2026-01-18 0.000253 0.000403 0.000605 0.000893 0.001282 0.001781 0.002457
2026-01-25 0.000231 0.000382 0.000594 0.000901 0.001326 0.001879 0.002642
2026-02-01 0.000210 0.000361 0.000579 0.000902 0.001358 0.001963 0.002809
2026-02-08 0.000183 0.000329 0.000545 0.000875 0.001350 0.001990 0.002901
2026-02-15 0.000162 0.000303 0.000518 0.000854 0.001347 0.002024 0.003000
2026-02-22 0.000146 0.000285 0.000502 0.000848 0.001366 0.002088 0.003141
2026-03-01 0.000133 0.000269 0.000489 0.000846 0.001390 0.002159 0.003295
2026-03-08 0.000119 0.000252 0.000471 0.000836 0.001401 0.002212 0.003424
2026-03-15 0.000106 0.000234 0.000451 0.000821 0.001404 0.002253 0.003538
2026-03-22 0.000101 0.000230 0.000454 0.000842 0.001463 0.002375 0.003769
2026-03-29 0.000095 0.000223 0.000452 0.000854 0.001507 0.002477 0.003973
2026-04-05 0.000086 0.000211 0.000438 0.000848 0.001521 0.002534 0.004112
2026-04-12 0.000078 0.000199 0.000425 0.000839 0.001531 0.002586 0.004244
2026-04-19 0.000073 0.000192 0.000421 0.000847 0.001568 0.002677 0.004437
2026-04-26 0.000067 0.000184 0.000413 0.000848 0.001593 0.002752 0.004605
2026-05-03 0.000059 0.000169 0.000391 0.000822 0.001573 0.002755 0.004666
2026-05-10 0.000052 0.000156 0.000373 0.000802 0.001561 0.002770 0.004743